Upcoming German Bundestag Election: Latest Polling and Projections
Polls Indicate Close Race for Chancellor
As Germany prepares for its upcoming Bundestag election in the fall of 2025, the political landscape remains highly contested. Recent polling data has revealed a neck-and-neck race between the incumbent Social Democratic Party (SPD) and the conservative Christian Democratic Union (CDU).
SPD Holds a Slight Edge
According to the latest INSA poll conducted in June 2024, the SPD holds a narrow lead with 30% of the vote. The CDU follows closely behind with 25%, while the Green Party, the Free Democratic Party (FDP), and the Alternative for Germany (AfD) trail in the single digits.
AfD Declines in Support
Notably, the AfD, which has gained ground in recent years, has shown a decline in support. The poll indicates a drop in their vote share from 16% in the previous poll to 12%, suggesting a potential shift in voter sentiment.
Election Date and Outlook
The Bundestag election is expected to be held in September 2025. While the race remains close, the outcome will ultimately be determined by the final campaign strategies of the parties and the changing political climate in Germany.
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